Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Campo Sportivo di Fiorentino Federico Crescentini
We said: San Marino 0-4 Slovenia
With all due respect to San Marino, anything other than a high-scoring away win would be a big shock in Serravalle, so we expect Slovenia to cruise to a comfortable victory on Sunday.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovenia win with a probability of 85.13% . A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 3.95% .
The most likely scoreline for a Slovenia win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.39% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (14.11%) and 0-1 (11.19%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.05%) , while for a San Marino win it was 1-0 (1.84%) . The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-4 win for Slovenia in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Slovenia.
Result San Marino Draw Slovenia 3.95% ( -0.03) 10.93% ( -0.04) 85.13% ( 0.07)
Both teams to score 34% ( -0.1)
62.04% ( 0.02) 37.96% ( -0.02)
39.78% ( 0.03) 60.22% ( -0.02)
36.32% ( -0.11) 63.68% ( 0.11)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 7.58% ( -0.05) 92.42% ( 0.05)
93.61% ( 0.02) 6.39% ( -0.02)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 76.03% ( 0.05) 23.97% ( -0.05)
San Marino 3.95%
Slovenia 85.12%
Draw 10.93%
San Marino Draw Slovenia 1-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 3.95% 1-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.07% ( -0) 2-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 10.93% 0-2 @ 15.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 14.11% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 11.19% 0-4 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 6.37% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 5.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 4.38% ( -0) 0-6 @ 2.45% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 1-6 @ 1.1% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) 0-7 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.36% Total : 85.12%
How you voted: San Marino vs Slovenia
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rhs 2.0
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