Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stocksbridge Park Steels win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stocksbridge Park Steels win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.66%). The likeliest Bradford Park Avenue win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stocksbridge Park Steels would win this match.