Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 20, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

NSK Olimpijs'kyj

Ukraine
0 - 0
Italy

Konoplya (79')

Buongiorno (7')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Ukraine

All competitions

Last Game: Malta 1-3 Ukraine
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	7	18	19
2	Italy	7	7	13
3	Ukraine	7	3	13
4	North Macedonia	7	-10	7
5	Malta	8	-18	0

Italy

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Italy 5-2 N. Macedonia
Friday, November 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	England	7	18	19
2	Italy	7	7	13
3	Ukraine	7	3	13
4	North Macedonia	7	-10	7
5	Malta	8	-18	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Italy had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Italy win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Ukraine	Draw	Italy
42.2% ( -0.49)	26.26% ( 0.12)	31.53% ( 0.37)

Both teams to score 52.3% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.82% (

-0.38)

52.17% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11% (

-0.33)

73.89% (

0.33)

Ukraine Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

-0.41)

24.48% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.07% (

-0.58)

58.93% (

0.58)

Italy Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.25% (

0.06)

30.74% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.99% (

0.07)

67% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Ukraine 42.2%

Italy 31.53%

Draw 26.26%

Ukraine	Draw	Italy
1-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.45% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.64% Total : 42.2%	1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26%	0-1 @ 8.88% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.37% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.06% Total : 31.53%