The Match
Match Report
Holders Italy qualify for Euro 2024 despite playing out a 0-0 draw with Ukraine, who are consigned to the playoffs.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Ukraine and Italy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Predicted Lineups
Sports Mole looks at how Ukraine could line up in Monday's Euro 2024 qualifier with Italy.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Malta 1-3 Ukraine
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 7 | 18 | 19 |
| 2 | Italy | 7 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 7 | -10 | 7 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ukraine win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Italy had a probability of 31.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ukraine win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Italy win was 0-1 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ukraine | Draw | Italy |
42.2% ( -0.49) | 26.26% ( 0.12) | 31.53% ( 0.37) |
| Both teams to score 52.3% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
