MX23RW : Thursday, June 27 18:07:52| >> :60:1025:1025:
Italy national football team
Friendlies 1
Jun 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Bosnia and Herzegovina national football team

Italy
1 - 0
Bosnia H'vina

Frattesi (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Huseinbasic (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's friendly clash between Italy and Bosnia-Herzegovina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Italy could line up for Sunday's international friendly clash with Bosnia-Herzegovina

Form, Standings, Stats

Italy

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Italy 0-0 Turkey
Tuesday, June 4 at 8pm in International Friendlies

Bosnia-Herzegovina

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: England 3-0 Bosnia H'vina
Monday, June 3 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Italy 2-0 Bosnia-Herzegovina

 Italy have not scored more than one goal in in five of their last six internationals, but they will fancy their chances of success in the final third against a Bosnia outfit who have conceded 16 goals in their last five matches, shipping at least two goals on each occasion. Seeking to enter Euro 2024 on a positive note, the Azzurri should have few problems securing a routine victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy win with a probability of 78.48%. A draw had a probability of 14.3% and a win for Bosnia-Herzegovina had a probability of 7.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 1-0 (10.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.79%), while for a Bosnia-Herzegovina win it was 0-1 (2.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Italy would win this match.

Result
ItalyDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
78.48% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03) 14.29% (0.004999999999999 0) 7.22% (0.0221 0.02)
Both teams to score 43.2% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.17% (0.063000000000002 0.06)38.82% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.86% (0.067 0.07)61.13% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Italy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)8% (-0.0071000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
71.8% (0.022000000000006 0.02)28.19% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Bosnia-Herzegovina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.96% (0.103 0.1)53.04% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.32% (0.065 0.06)86.67% (-0.062999999999988 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Italy 78.47%
    Bosnia-Herzegovina 7.22%
    Draw 14.29%
ItalyDrawBosnia-Herzegovina
2-0 @ 13.53% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
3-0 @ 11.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-0 @ 10.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.23% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 7.2% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 4.56% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
5-1 @ 2.31% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
6-0 @ 1.53% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.45% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
6-1 @ 0.97% (0.003 0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 78.47%
1-1 @ 6.79% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-0 @ 4.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 2.72% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 14.29%
0-1 @ 2.69%
1-2 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 7.22%

How you voted: Italy vs Bosnia H'vina

Italy
82.8%
Draw
9.7%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
7.5%
93
Head to Head
Nov 18, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Bosnia H'vina
0-2
Italy

Kadusic (62')
Belotti (22'), Berardi (68')
Romagnoli (64'), Berardi (65')
> Preview
Sep 4, 2020 7.45pm
League A
Italy
1-1
Bosnia H'vina
Sensi (67')
Belotti (65'), Zaniolo (80'), Bonucci (80')
Dzeko (57')
Cimirot (80')
> Preview
Nov 15, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Bosnia H'vina
0-3
Italy

Kovacevic (79')
Acerbi (21'), Insigne (37'), Belotti (52')
Bernardeschi (25'), Bonucci (64')
> Match Report
Jun 11, 2019 7.45pm
Group Stage
Italy
2-1
Bosnia H'vina
Insigne (49'), Verratti (86')
Jorginho (14')
Dzeko (32')
Besic (43'), Civic (44'), Saric (62'), Dzeko (93')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 29
 
5pm
Round of 16
Switzerland
vs.
Italy
 
8pm
Round of 16
Germany
vs.
Denmark
Sunday, June 30
 
5pm
Round of 16
England
vs.
Slovakia
 
8pm
Round of 16
Spain
vs.
Georgia
Monday, July 1
 
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
 
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
 
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
 
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 1
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 2
Wednesday, July 10
 
8pm
Semi-Finals
Winner Quarter-final 3
vs.
Winner Quarter-final 4
Sunday, July 14
 
8pm
Final
Winner SF1
vs.
Winner SF2
> View full version> Results
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania41215
Q Slovakia Slovakia41215
Q Belgium Belgium31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121
> European Championship 2024 overview


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