We said: Almeria 0-3 Real Madrid
Keeping hold of Sadiq for the visit of the champions has been of paramount importance for Almeria, but there is only so much that the prolific 25-year-old can do against the Spanish and European champions.
Despite their midweek exploits and long journey home, Ancelotti's fully-fit side should have no problem picking up an opening-day win and giving Almeria a harsh dose of reality on Sunday.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.