La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 1

Aug 14, 2022 at 9pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
1 - 2
Real Madrid

Ramazani (6')
Sadiq (40'), Curro (67'), Puigmal (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vazquez (61'), Alaba (75')
Camavinga (40')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

Last Six:

Last Game: Leganes 2-2 Almeria
Sunday, May 29 at 7pm in Segunda Division

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
6	Rayo Vallecano	1	0	1
7	Almeria	0	0	0
8	Athletic Bilbao	0	0	0

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Real Madrid 2-0 Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
15	Real Betis	0	0	0
16	Real Madrid	0	0	0
17	Real Sociedad	0	0	0

We said: Almeria 0-3 Real Madrid

Keeping hold of Sadiq for the visit of the champions has been of paramount importance for Almeria, but there is only so much that the prolific 25-year-old can do against the Spanish and European champions. Despite their midweek exploits and long journey home, Ancelotti's fully-fit side should have no problem picking up an opening-day win and giving Almeria a harsh dose of reality on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 44.12%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 31.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Almeria win was 2-1 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Real Madrid
31.75% ( 0)	24.13%	44.12% ( -0)

Both teams to score 59.58% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.25% (

-0)

42.75% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.85% (

-0)

65.15% (

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.07%

25.93%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.07% (

60.93% (

-0)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43%

19.57% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.51% (

-0)

51.49%

Score Analysis

Almeria 31.75%

Real Madrid 44.12%

Draw 24.13%

Almeria	Draw	Real Madrid
2-1 @ 7.54% 1-0 @ 6.85% 2-0 @ 4.62% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% 3-2 @ 2.77% 3-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.75%	1-1 @ 11.17% 2-2 @ 6.15% 0-0 @ 5.07% 3-3 @ 1.51% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.13%	1-2 @ 9.11% 0-1 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 6.75% 1-3 @ 4.96% 0-3 @ 3.67% 2-3 @ 3.34% 1-4 @ 2.02% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.12%