Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Real Valladolid | 5 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
19 | Getafe | 4 | -9 | 1 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
6 | Osasuna | 4 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Athletic Bilbao | 4 | 4 | 7 |
8 | Girona | 5 | 1 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.46%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (10.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
28.76% (![]() | 28.39% (![]() | 42.84% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.97% (![]() | 61.03% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.98% (![]() | 81.01% (![]() |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.53% (![]() | 37.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.74% (![]() | 74.25% (![]() |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.77% (![]() | 28.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.07% (![]() | 63.93% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Elche | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.38% (![]() 2-1 @ 6.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.67% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.33% ( ![]() Other @ 1.73% Total : 28.76% | 1-1 @ 13.13% (![]() 0-0 @ 10.57% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.08% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.38% | 0-1 @ 13.37% (![]() 0-2 @ 8.46% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 8.31% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.57% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.5% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.72% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 1.67% Total : 42.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |