La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 37

May 28, 2023 at 6pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
0 - 0
Valladolid

Monchu (70'), Plata (89'), Hongla (90+2'), Kenedy (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-0 Almeria
Tuesday, May 23 at 6.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Valladolid 3-1 Barcelona
Tuesday, May 23 at 9pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Almeria 2-2 Real Valladolid

Goals could be in plentiful supply with two of the league's leakiest defences on show, as both are in a group of four teams to have conceded 60+ this season. There is practically nothing to separate the sides on paper or in the standings, and a tense, close battle awaits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 55.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 21.13%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Real Valladolid win it was 0-1 (6.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Real Valladolid
55.03% ( -0.05)	23.83% ( 0)	21.13% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 50.83% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.24% (

0.05)

49.76% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.23% (

0.04)

71.76% (

-0.05)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.05% (

17.95% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

48.78% (

-0)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.95% (

0.08)

38.05% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.18% (

0.08)

74.81% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Almeria 55.03%

Real Valladolid 21.13%

Draw 23.83%

Almeria	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.57% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.16% ( 0) Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.03%	1-1 @ 11.33% 0-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.96% Total : 23.83%	0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 1.56% Total : 21.13%