League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 9
Apr 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Derry4 - 1Dundalk
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Dundalk.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Shelbourne 0-0 Derry
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, April 1 at 5pm in League of Ireland Premier
Goals
for
for
10
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Drogheda
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League of Ireland Premier
Monday, April 1 at 1pm in League of Ireland Premier
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 61.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 16.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Derry City | Draw | Dundalk |
61.25% ( -0.02) | 22.26% ( -0.11) | 16.49% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 47.65% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
