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League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Shrewsbury


Long (83'), Moore (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowman (74')
Phillips (35'), Flanagan (55'), Shipley (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Barnsley
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

Despite Shrewsbury not being able to get the better of Oxford in the last eight meetings between the sides, they are in much better form than their opponents on Saturday, so we think they will claim all three points. The sides shared the spoils in the reverse fixture back in November, but we think the Shrews can extend their winning streak here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
51.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.012 0.01)52.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.8% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27%52.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)36.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)73.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 51.19%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.73%
    Draw 25.07%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.73%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Shrewsbury
Atkinson (13'), Lee (36'), Taylor (66'), Long (77')
Brannagan (74')
Chapman (51')
Vela (64'), Norburn (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham38278365263989
2Wrexham40239856322478
3Wycombe WanderersWycombe392112665362975
4Charlton AthleticCharlton402191055361972
5Stockport CountyStockport402011958362271
6Bolton WanderersBolton39196146157463
7Reading391711115550562
8Huddersfield TownHuddersfield391871452391361
9Blackpool4015151062511160
10Leyton Orient391851655401559
11Barnsley40159165457-354
12Lincoln CityLincoln401411155446853
13Stevenage391310163542-749
14Peterborough UnitedPeterborough39139176166-548
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham39139174449-548
16Exeter CityExeter39139174254-1248
17Mansfield TownMansfield39138184654-847
18Wigan AthleticWigan381111163438-444
19Northampton TownNorthampton401013173859-2143
20Bristol Rovers40126224165-2442
21Burton Albion39912184156-1539
22Crawley TownCrawley4099224775-2836
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge40711223965-2632
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3978243566-3129


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