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Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Shrewsbury Town

Oxford Utd
0 - 1
Shrewsbury


Long (83'), Moore (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Bowman (74')
Phillips (35'), Flanagan (55'), Shipley (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Barnsley
Wednesday, February 1 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 1-2 Shrewsbury Town

Despite Shrewsbury not being able to get the better of Oxford in the last eight meetings between the sides, they are in much better form than their opponents on Saturday, so we think they will claim all three points. The sides shared the spoils in the reverse fixture back in November, but we think the Shrews can extend their winning streak here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.2%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (7.48%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Shrewsbury Town would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
51.2% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01) 25.07% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 23.73% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.31% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.93% (0.012 0.01)52.07% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.2% (0.010000000000002 0.01)73.8% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.66%20.34% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.27%52.73% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)36.85% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.36% (0.018999999999998 0.02)73.64% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 51.19%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.73%
    Draw 25.07%
Oxford UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 11.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 9.5% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49%
3-0 @ 5.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.52% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.01%
4-2 @ 1%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 51.19%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.48% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.98% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.24% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 23.73%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Shrewsbury

Oxford United
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Shrewsbury Town
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 9, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Oct 19, 2021 7.45pm
May 1, 2021 3pm
Shrewsbury
2-3
Oxford Utd
Pennington (16'), Vela (25')
Walker (62')
Lee (3'), Henry (68'), Agyei (85')
Agyei (90+6')
Apr 13, 2021 7pm
Oxford Utd
4-1
Shrewsbury
Atkinson (13'), Lee (36'), Taylor (66'), Long (77')
Brannagan (74')
Chapman (51')
Vela (64'), Norburn (74')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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