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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.
Result | ||
Blackpool | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
59.48% ( 1.11) | 22.29% ( -0.32) | 18.23% ( -0.79) |
Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.74% ( 0.18) | 47.26% ( -0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.51% ( 0.17) | 69.49% ( -0.17) |
Blackpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.49% ( 0.43) | 15.51% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.59% ( 0.8) | 44.41% ( -0.81) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.27% ( -0.78) | 39.73% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.6% ( -0.73) | 76.4% ( 0.73) |
Score Analysis |
Blackpool | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.16% ( 0.08) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 59.47% | 1-1 @ 10.6% ( -0.15) 0-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.97% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 49 | 25 | 24 | 50 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 50 |
3 | Wrexham | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 48 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 43 |
5 | Reading | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 40 |
6 | Barnsley | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 39 |
7 | Stockport CountyStockport | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 38 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 34 |
9 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 25 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 34 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 33 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 31 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 31 |
14 | Stevenage | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 30 |
15 | Blackpool | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 29 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 27 |
17 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 21 | 23 | -2 | 27 |
18 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 25 |
19 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 23 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 38 | -17 | 22 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 20 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 43 | -19 | 17 |
23 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 22 | 42 | -20 | 17 |
24 | Burton Albion | 23 | 2 | 8 | 13 | 20 | 37 | -17 | 14 |
> League One Full Table |