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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Cheltenham Town

Blackpool
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Lavery (18'), Rhodes (32'), Dembele (41')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goodwin (44', 86')
Long (36'), Freestone (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 1-0 Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham's confidence will be significantly boosted by their last two results, but they are yet to prove they can compete under the road having blanked in all six league outings this season. Blackpool are not exactly full of goals themselves under Critchley, but with Rhodes doing his best to change that, we expect them to narrowly get the job done on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
59.48% (1.107 1.11) 22.29% (-0.32 -0.32) 18.23% (-0.791 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (0.183 0.18)47.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.168 0.17)69.49% (-0.173 -0.17)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.434 0.43)15.51% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (0.802 0.8)44.41% (-0.806 -0.81)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.784 -0.78)39.73% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.731 -0.73)76.4% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 59.47%
    Cheltenham Town 18.23%
    Draw 22.29%
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Cheltenham

Blackpool
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
Cheltenham Town
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Blackpool
Dayton (18'), Wright (45')
Dickie (9'), Downes (34'), Storer (43'), Cranston (53'), Pell (75')
Vassell (45', 47')
Slocombe (16'), Payne (45'), Aldred (95')
Apr 21, 2007 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Blackpool
Finnigan (51' pen.)
Melligan (68'), Finnigan (90')
Williams (39'), Southern (85')
Jackson (62')
Dec 5, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Cheltenham
Hoolahan (80'), Morrell (29')
Jackson (85')
Spencer (14')
O'Leary (60'), Spencer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Titans
31-12
Dolphins
FT
Seahawks
29-42
Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham7610168819
2Wrexham8521146817
3Lincoln CityLincoln7421126614
4Blackpool84221613314
5Mansfield TownMansfield74211311214
6Barnsley84221311214
7Wycombe WanderersWycombe74121411313
8Charlton AthleticCharlton841376113
9Stockport CountyStockport7331117412
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield84041210212
11Stevenage832365111
12Peterborough UnitedPeterborough83231414011
13Exeter CityExeter731386210
14Bolton WanderersBolton7313911-210
15Reading7313911-210
16Wigan AthleticWigan82336519
17Northampton TownNorthampton722389-18
18Leyton Orient8224911-28
19Rotherham UnitedRotherham8143610-47
20Crawley TownCrawley7214510-57
21Bristol Rovers8215713-67
22Burton Albion7043813-54
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury8116613-74
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge7016615-91


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