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Blackpool
League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
Cheltenham Town

Blackpool
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Lavery (18'), Rhodes (32'), Dembele (41')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goodwin (44', 86')
Long (36'), Freestone (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Blackpool and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 1-0 Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham's confidence will be significantly boosted by their last two results, but they are yet to prove they can compete under the road having blanked in all six league outings this season. Blackpool are not exactly full of goals themselves under Critchley, but with Rhodes doing his best to change that, we expect them to narrowly get the job done on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
59.48% (1.107 1.11) 22.29% (-0.32 -0.32) 18.23% (-0.791 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (0.183 0.18)47.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.168 0.17)69.49% (-0.173 -0.17)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.434 0.43)15.51% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (0.802 0.8)44.41% (-0.806 -0.81)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.784 -0.78)39.73% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.731 -0.73)76.4% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 59.47%
    Cheltenham Town 18.23%
    Draw 22.29%
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.23%

How you voted: Blackpool vs Cheltenham

Blackpool
87.0%
Draw
4.3%
Cheltenham Town
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Apr 22, 2017 3pm
Oct 29, 2016 3pm
Cheltenham
2-2
Blackpool
Dayton (18'), Wright (45')
Dickie (9'), Downes (34'), Storer (43'), Cranston (53'), Pell (75')
Vassell (45', 47')
Slocombe (16'), Payne (45'), Aldred (95')
Apr 21, 2007 3pm
Cheltenham
1-2
Blackpool
Finnigan (51' pen.)
Melligan (68'), Finnigan (90')
Williams (39'), Southern (85')
Jackson (62')
Dec 5, 2006 3pm
Blackpool
2-1
Cheltenham
Hoolahan (80'), Morrell (29')
Jackson (85')
Spencer (14')
O'Leary (60'), Spencer (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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