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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Stevenage

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Stevenage

Brannagan (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Long (32' og.)
Vancooten (10'), Guinness-Walker (71'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Oxford United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Stevenage

Although Oxford experienced a disappointing result on Tuesday, we think that they will bounce back to claim all three points in Friday's clash against a Stevenage side who could be downbeat following a run of poor form and Evans's recent departure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
43.98%24.66%31.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64%45.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31%67.69% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69%53.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.98%
    Stevenage 31.36%
    Draw 24.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.11%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Stevenage

Oxford United
81.6%
Draw
8.2%
Stevenage
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Stevenage
1-3
Oxford Utd
Reid (15')
Butler (65')
Leigh (23', 55'), Moore (82')
Moore (45+4'), Beadle (90+5')
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Stevenage
Agyei (11')
Henry (62')
Reid (75'), Norris (90')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Stevenage
2-6
Oxford Utd
Beautyman (19'), Samuel (82')
Conlon (49')
Henry (30'), Hall (43', 52'), Obika (50'), Rothwell (55'), Payne (64')
Xemi (53')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Oct 31, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Oxford Utd
Whelpdale (17')
McCombe (27'), Tonge (68')
Taylor (13', 72'), Serecombe (27' pen.), MacDonald (66'), Roofe (75')
MacDonald (44'), Dunkley (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham34247356223479
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe351911561332868
3Wrexham35208750282268
4Stockport CountyStockport361711852341862
5Charlton AthleticCharlton35179946311560
6Bolton WanderersBolton35186115751660
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield361771247331458
8Reading351510104945455
9Leyton Orient361651551371453
10Barnsley36157145051-152
11Blackpool35111595247548
12Stevenage35139133335-248
13Lincoln CityLincoln361210144845346
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham35128153941-244
15Wigan AthleticWigan351110143234-243
16Mansfield TownMansfield35118164148-741
17Northampton TownNorthampton361011153653-1741
18Exeter CityExeter34117163750-1340
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough35109165260-839
20Bristol Rovers35116183653-1739
21Burton Albion36712173653-1733
22Crawley TownCrawley3579193865-2730
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge3578203458-2429
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury3677223460-2628


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