League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Stevenage

Brannagan (59' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Long (32' og.)
Vancooten (10'), Guinness-Walker (71'), Smith (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Oxford United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

We said: Oxford United 2-1 Stevenage

Although Oxford experienced a disappointing result on Tuesday, we think that they will bounce back to claim all three points in Friday's clash against a Stevenage side who could be downbeat following a run of poor form and Evans's recent departure. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Stevenage
43.98%	24.66%	31.36% ( 0)

Both teams to score 57.52%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64%

45.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.31%

67.69% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.29%

20.71% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.69%

53.31% (

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.54% (

27.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.05%

62.95% (

Score Analysis

Oxford United 43.98%

Stevenage 31.36%

Draw 24.66%

Oxford United	Draw	Stevenage
2-1 @ 9.11% 1-0 @ 8.95% 2-0 @ 7.05% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-0 @ 3.7% 3-2 @ 3.09% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 2.74% Total : 43.98%	1-1 @ 11.57% 2-2 @ 5.89% 0-0 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.66%	1-2 @ 7.48% 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.75% 1-3 @ 3.22% 2-3 @ 2.54% 0-3 @ 2.05% 1-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.93% Total : 31.36%