EFL Cup | Quarter-Finals
Dec 19, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Vale Park
Port Vale0 - 3Middlesbrough
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Port Vale 3-2 Wigan
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Swansea 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Port Vale 1-3 Middlesbrough
For the first time in their cup run, Port Vale will go up against a team from a higher division, and we think that the gulf in quality could help Middlesbrough claim a relatively comfortable victory to seal their place the semi-finals. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 40.79%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.52% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 2-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Port Vale | Draw | Middlesbrough |
34.52% ( 0.08) | 24.69% ( -0) | 40.79% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 58.55% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
