Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (9.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
