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League One
Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Alli (52')
Aimson (45+6'), Harris (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Harris (12'), Brannagan (40' pen.)
Stevens (84'), Cumming (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in League One

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Stevenage
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-3 Oxford United

 While Exeter are coming into this match on a brilliant run of nine games without defeat, the added incentive of a playoff place for Oxford Utd makes us believe they will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
30.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.35% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.57%
    Oxford United 44.07%
    Draw 25.35%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
6.3%
Oxford United
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')

Aimson (82')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
> Preview
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
(Aggregate 0-0 | Exeter win 3-0 on penalties)
Tillson (30')
Mackie (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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