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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Exeter City

MK Dons
0 - 2
Exeter


Devoy (36'), Harvie (63'), Watson (81'), Kaikai (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (37' pen., 67')
Brown (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Exeter City

Although MK Dons are currently in a relegation fight, they have never lost a competitive home game against Exeter, and we think that they will continue that run by playing out a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawExeter City
46.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.85%28.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.73% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 46.82%
    Exeter City 28.33%
    Draw 24.84%
MK DonsDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.33%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Exeter

MK Dons
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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