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MK Dons
League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Exeter City

MK Dons
0 - 2
Exeter


Devoy (36'), Harvie (63'), Watson (81'), Kaikai (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Brown (37' pen., 67')
Brown (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between MK Dons and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: MK Dons 0-1 Shrewsbury
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in League One

We said: MK Dons 1-1 Exeter City

Although MK Dons are currently in a relegation fight, they have never lost a competitive home game against Exeter, and we think that they will continue that run by playing out a draw on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 46.82%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.

Result
MK DonsDrawExeter City
46.82% (0.013999999999996 0.01) 24.85%28.33% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.13% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.7% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.89% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)20.42% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)52.86% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.28% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)30.73% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.02% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)66.98% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 46.82%
    Exeter City 28.33%
    Draw 24.84%
MK DonsDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.92% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-1 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 4.19% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.97% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.67% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 46.82%
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 6.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-3 @ 1.15% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.84%
0-1 @ 7.41%
1-2 @ 6.94% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
0-2 @ 4.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3%
Total : 28.33%

How you voted: MK Dons vs Exeter

MK Dons
41.7%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Feb 2, 2019 3pm
Exeter
3-1
MK Dons
Law (7', 72'), Taylor (17')
Sweeney (6')
Walsh (48')
Cargill (58'), Houghton (73'), Gilbey (95')
Aug 25, 2018 3pm
MK Dons
1-0
Exeter
Agard (65' pen.)
Agard (17'), D'Ath (90')

Moxey (37'), Stockley (64')
Moxey (55')
Mar 10, 2012 3pm
Aug 13, 2011 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
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7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
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11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
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15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
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18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
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24Burton Albion120481325-124


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