MX23RW : Sunday, September 29 22:17:41| >> :600:9270628:9270628:
Derby logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 30, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium
West Ham logo

Derby
0 - 2
West Ham


Smith (22')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bowen (10'), Antonio (50')
Soucek (70')

The Match

Match Report

West Ham United are through to the fifth round of the FA Cup after securing a routine 2-0 victory against Derby County at Pride Park on Monday night.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's FA Cup clash between Derby County and West Ham United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Derby
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: West Ham 2-0 Everton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.

Result
Derby CountyDrawWest Ham United
36.21% (0.649 0.65) 25.95% (0.059000000000001 0.06) 37.84% (-0.708 -0.71)
Both teams to score 54.39% (-0.15 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.04% (-0.213 -0.21)49.96% (0.212 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.06% (-0.19 -0.19)71.94% (0.18900000000001 0.19)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (0.27800000000001 0.28)26.7% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (0.366 0.37)61.96% (-0.367 -0.37)
West Ham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.21% (-0.488 -0.49)25.78% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.27% (-0.665 -0.66)60.73% (0.66399999999999 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Derby County 36.21%
    West Ham United 37.84%
    Draw 25.95%
Derby CountyDrawWest Ham United
1-0 @ 9.09% (0.149 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.13% (0.084 0.08)
2-0 @ 6% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.065 0.07)
3-0 @ 2.64% (0.084 0.08)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.89% (0.059 0.06)
2-2 @ 5.51% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.95%
0-1 @ 9.33% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
1-2 @ 8.35% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 6.33% (-0.123 -0.12)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.86% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.49% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.28% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.97% (-0.047 -0.05)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 37.84%

How you voted: Derby vs West Ham

Derby County
33.1%
Draw
17.4%
West Ham United
49.6%
236
Head to Head
Dec 31, 2011 1pm
Derby
2-1
West Ham
Green (10'), Ball (2')
Nouble (42')
Lansbury (24'), O'Brien (57'), Reid (66'), O'Neil (90')
Nov 26, 2011 5.20pm
West Ham
3-1
Derby
Nolan (64'), Noble (74' pen.), Cole (44')
McCartney (40')

Davies (44')
Apr 19, 2008 3pm
West Ham
2-1
Derby
Zamora (20'), Cole (77')
Noble (80'), Parker (83')
Mears (65')
Stubbs (74')
Nov 10, 2007 3pm
Derby
0-5
West Ham

Oakley (21'), Fagan (89')
Lewis (55' og.), Solano (69'), Etherington (51'), Bowyer (42', 59')
Bowyer (34')
Jan 23, 2005 3pm
West Ham
1-2
Derby
Fletcher (26')
Fletcher (22')
Rasiak (10', 63')
Camp (42'), Rasiak (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool65011221015
2Manchester CityMan City6420146814
3Arsenal6420125714
4Chelsea6411157813
5Aston Villa6411129313
6Fulham632185311
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle632187111
8Tottenham HotspurSpurs6312125710
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton623110829
10Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest62316519
11Brentford6213810-27
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd621358-37
13Bournemouth512258-35
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham6123610-45
15Ipswich TownIpswich6042510-54
16Everton6114715-84
17Leicester CityLeicester6033812-43
18Crystal Palace603359-43
19Southampton501429-71
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves6015616-101


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