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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Sutton United

Barrow
2 - 1
Sutton

Acauah (79'), Proctor (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Angol (33')
Rose (76')
Smith (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Barrow
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Barrow 1-0 Sutton United

Based on last season's standings, the two teams should be evenly-matched as only four points separated them in the table. However, Sutton only managed to win four games away from home last season, and combined with Barrow's impressive home form last term, we are inclined to side with a narrow home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sutton United win with a probability of 37.14%. A win for Barrow had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sutton United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.82%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Barrow win was 1-0 (11.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawSutton United
34.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 28.25% (0.0040000000000013 0) 37.14% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.99% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.78% (-0.014999999999993 -0.01)59.22% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)79.64% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)32.25% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)68.75% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.36%30.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)66.88% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 34.61%
    Sutton United 37.13%
    Draw 28.24%
BarrowDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 11.18%
2-1 @ 7.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.82% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 34.61%
1-1 @ 13.22%
0-0 @ 9.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.43% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 28.24%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 6.91% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.09%
0-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 37.13%

Head to Head
Mar 11, 2023 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
1-0
Barrow
Fadahunsi (79')

Stevens (88')
Apr 23, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Barrow
1-0
Sutton
Rooney (68')
Kay (32'), Brown (75')
Kay (69')

Ajiboye (67')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 19
Sutton
1-0
Barrow
Ajiboye (16')
Goodliffe (13'), Bugiel (51'), Davis (82'), Bouzanis (89')

Kay (45'), Banks (74')
Feb 22, 2020 5.20pm
Gameweek 44
Sutton
2-2
Barrow
Beautyman (45', 66' pen.)
Goodliffe (84')
Quigley (28', 39')
Kay (10'), Platt (56'), Taylor (65'), Brough (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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