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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 29.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
43.97% ( -4.57) | 26.93% ( 0.69) | 29.1% ( 3.89) |
Both teams to score 49.14% ( 0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.3% ( -0.36) | 55.71% ( 0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.15% ( -0.3) | 76.85% ( 0.3) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.83% ( -2.34) | 25.17% ( 2.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.11% ( -3.34) | 59.89% ( 3.34) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.67% ( 2.99) | 34.33% ( -2.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.97% ( 3.07) | 71.03% ( -3.07) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.66) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -1.07) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.47) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.79) 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0.27) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.39) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.97% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.18) Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.84) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.7) 0-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.8) 1-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.42) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.4) 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.19) Other @ 2.25% Total : 29.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 21 |
2 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 20 |
3 | Notts County | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 19 |
4 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Gillingham | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
6 | BarrowBarrow | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 19 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 18 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 18 |
9 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 17 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 16 |
11 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
12 | Chesterfield | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 15 |
13 | Newport CountyNewport | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 15 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 14 |
15 | MK Dons | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 13 | 0 | 12 |
16 | Salford City | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 12 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
18 | Swindon TownSwindon | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 11 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
21 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 10 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 9 |
23 | Morecambe | 11 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 7 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 23 | -13 | 7 |
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