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Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 39
Mar 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Rochdale

Crawley
1 - 0
Rochdale

Nadesan (18')
Davies (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Rochdale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Crawley Town 2-0 Rochdale

Despite having little to play for on Saturday, we can see the hosts coming out on top against a struggling Rochdale side that are lacking in quality all over the pitch in recent weeks. Crawley were excellent last time out against a solid Swindon side, and if they can perform anywhere near those levels, then they should come out victorious fairly comfortably in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 44.44%. A win for Rochdale had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Rochdale win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crawley Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Crawley Town.

Result
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
44.44%26.4%29.17%
Both teams to score 50.76%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.37%53.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.87%75.13%
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.72%58.28%
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.81%33.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.2%69.8%
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 44.44%
    Rochdale 29.17%
    Draw 26.4%
Crawley TownDrawRochdale
1-0 @ 11.37%
2-1 @ 8.94%
2-0 @ 8.11%
3-1 @ 4.25%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 1.52%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 44.44%
1-1 @ 12.54%
0-0 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.93%
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.4%
0-1 @ 8.79%
1-2 @ 6.92%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.54%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 29.17%

How you voted: Crawley vs Rochdale

Crawley Town
76.9%
Draw
15.4%
Rochdale
7.7%
26
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2021 3pm
Jan 17, 2015 3pm
Rochdale
4-1
Crawley
Tanser (33'), Henderson (38', 88'), Andrew (93')
Elliott (76')
Tomlin (7')
Sep 6, 2014 3pm
Crawley
0-4
Rochdale

McLeod (74')
Done (10'), Vincenti (54', 66'), Andrew (75')
Andrew (77'), Rafferty (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster2814774031949
3Notts County27138643271647
4Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2787122731-431
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020


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