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Stevenage
League Two | Gameweek 8
Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Sutton United

Stevenage
3 - 0
Sutton

Sweeney (28'), Norris (48', 70')
Sweeney (64'), Gilbey (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Eastmond (24'), Milsom (52'), Barden (67'), John (74'), Thomas (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Sutton United

With Stevenage third in the league and yet to drop a point at the Lamex Stadium this season, we have this one as a narrow victory for the home side. Sutton will cause the Boro some problems, and have shown they can beat the division's better teams, winning against sixth-placed Barrow and seventh-placed Mansfield, but will just about come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
StevenageDrawSutton United
47.26% (-1.102 -1.1) 27.12% (0.507 0.51) 25.61% (0.595 0.59)
Both teams to score 46.25% (-0.886 -0.89)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (-1.402 -1.4)58.26% (1.403 1.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (-1.111 -1.11)78.89% (1.111 1.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.31% (-1.131 -1.13)24.69% (1.132 1.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.77% (-1.609 -1.61)59.23% (1.61 1.61)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.41% (-0.25 -0.25)38.59% (0.253 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.67% (-0.238 -0.24)75.33% (0.239 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 47.26%
    Sutton United 25.61%
    Draw 27.12%
StevenageDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 13.32% (0.27 0.27)
2-0 @ 9.32% (-0.117 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.88% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-0 @ 4.35% (-0.203 -0.2)
3-1 @ 4.14% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-2 @ 1.97% (-0.12 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.125 -0.13)
4-1 @ 1.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 47.26%
1-1 @ 12.69% (0.18 0.18)
0-0 @ 9.53% (0.497 0.5)
2-2 @ 4.23% (-0.112 -0.11)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 27.12%
0-1 @ 9.07% (0.413 0.41)
1-2 @ 6.04% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
0-2 @ 4.32% (0.169 0.17)
1-3 @ 1.92%
0-3 @ 1.37% (0.044 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.34% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 25.61%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Sutton

Stevenage
75.0%
Draw
20.8%
Sutton United
4.2%
24
Head to Head
Jan 15, 2022 3pm
Stevenage
3-3
Sutton
Norris (34'), Reid (39', 64')
Prosser (55')
Smith (58'), Milsom (66' pen.), Bennett (90+8')
Nov 30, 2021 7.45pm
Sutton
0-0
Stevenage
Sutton win 4-3 on penalties

Eastmond (90+8')

Lines (33'), Vancooten (38'), Marshall (81'), Taylor (90+1')
Sep 11, 2021 3pm
Sutton
2-1
Stevenage
Bennett (58', 63' pen.)
John (38'), Kizzi (89')
List (55')
Taylor (47'), Coker (90+4')
Vancooten (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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