League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Oct 4, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Lamex Stadium

Stevenage
3 - 0
Sutton

Sweeney (28'), Norris (48', 70')
Sweeney (64'), Gilbey (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Eastmond (24'), Milsom (52'), Barden (67'), John (74'), Thomas (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Stevenage and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crawley 1-2 Stevenage
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Sutton United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stevenage 2-1 Sutton United

With Stevenage third in the league and yet to drop a point at the Lamex Stadium this season, we have this one as a narrow victory for the home side. Sutton will cause the Boro some problems, and have shown they can beat the division's better teams, winning against sixth-placed Barrow and seventh-placed Mansfield, but will just about come up short here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 47.26%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.32%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Stevenage	Draw	Sutton United
47.26% ( -1.1)	27.12% ( 0.51)	25.61% ( 0.59)

Both teams to score 46.25% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.74% (

-1.4)

58.26% (

1.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.11% (

-1.11)

78.89% (

1.11)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.31% (

-1.13)

24.69% (

1.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.77% (

-1.61)

59.23% (

1.61)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.41% (

-0.25)

38.59% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.67% (

-0.24)

75.33% (

0.24)

Score Analysis

Stevenage 47.26%

Sutton United 25.61%

Draw 27.12%

Stevenage	Draw	Sutton United
1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.52% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.45% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.26%	1-1 @ 12.69% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.68% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 1.92% 0-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.55% Total : 25.61%