Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Le Havre win with a probability of 39.42%. A win for Dijon had a probability of 30.96% and a draw had a probability of 29.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Le Havre win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 2-1 (7.67%). The likeliest Dijon win was 0-1 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Le Havre would win this match.
