Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toulouse win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Dijon had a probability of 21.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toulouse win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.89%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Dijon win it was 1-0 (8.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toulouse would win this match.