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[monks data]
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 18
Feb 8, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Santa Clara

Maritimo
1 - 2
Santa Clara

Joel (61' pen.)
Pelagio (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Crysan (74'), Carlos (78')
Villanueva (59'), Carlos (79'), Mansur (90')

Preview: Maritimo vs. Santa Clara - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Santa Clara, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Maritimo host Santa Clara in the Portuguese Primeira Liga on Monday evening as Milton Mendes's side look to end a run of four consecutive defeats.

The visitors, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last three league outings and will be in a confident mood ahead of this one.


Match preview

Daniel Ramos, now in charge of Santa Clara, pictured as Boavista boss in June 2020© Reuters

Os Verde-Rubros are currently 11th in the league standings after picking up 17 points from their opening 17 games of the season.

Despite their mid-table status, Maritimo are only three points above Boavista, who occupy the relegation playoff place.

The tight and congested nature of the Primeira Liga is making for an exciting campaign in Portugal, but Mendes will be keen for his side to avoid a relegation battle.

Three points on Monday could see the Estadio do Maritimo outfit start to pull away from the bottom three, and they will be desperate to do exactly that.

Santa Clara will be tricky opponents, though, as a 1-1 draw with Farense last time out extended their unbeaten run in the league to three games.

That result kept Daniel Ramos' men in seventh place in the top flight, although the gap to the European qualification places may prove too big for them to close.

Brazilian striker Thiago Santana was pivotal for Os Acoreanos in the first half of the campaign, bagging seven goals in his nine appearances.

The Estadio de Sao Miguel outfit initially struggled to cope with his January departure, but their recent performances have been much improved and will have given Ramos hope that his side can go on to have a successful 2020-21 campaign.

Maritimo Primeira Liga form: DLWLLL
Maritimo form (all competitions): WWLLLL

Santa Clara Primeira Liga form: DDLWWD
Santa Clara form (all competitions): WLWLWD


Team News

Mendes has the luxury of a full-fit squad to choose from for this one and is likely to recall top scorer Rodrigo Pinho to the starting XI after the 29-year-old missed the 2-0 defeat to Sporting Lisbon through injury.

Maritimo recently signed Sassa on loan in January from Brazilian outfit Cruzeiro, with the South American adding a much-needed option in attack for Os Verde-Rubros.

Santa Clara will be without centre-back Cristian Gonzalez with the 24-year-old defender once again ruled out through injury.

He will be joined on the sidelines by defensive midfielder Julio Romao who is nursing a knee injury.

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Abedzadeh; Santos, Africo, Andrade; Macedo, Bambock, Jean, Hermes; Guitane; Sassa, Joel

Santa Clara possible starting lineup:
Marco; Mansur, Villanueva, Cardoso, Ramos; Salomao, Morita, Carvalho; Lincoln, Crysan, Carlos


SM words green background

We say: Maritimo 1-2 Santa Clara

These are two teams in contrasting form, and we fancy this encounter to reflect their recent results. Santa Clara have finally adapted to life without Santana, and they should pick up another three points on Monday.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.65%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 25.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Maritimo win it was 1-0 (10%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Santa Clara would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Maritimo vs Santa Clara

Maritimo
13.1%
Draw
19.7%
Santa Clara
67.2%
61
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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