Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FC | 14 | 11 | 29 |
2 | Dallas | 14 | 11 | 25 |
3 | Real Salt Lake | 15 | -1 | 25 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Portland Timbers | 15 | -4 | 15 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 14 | -6 | 14 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 66.33%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 14.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
66.33% ( -0.63) | 18.88% ( 0.41) | 14.79% ( 0.22) |
Both teams to score 54.89% ( -0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.75% ( -1.49) | 38.25% ( 1.49) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.47% ( -1.61) | 60.53% ( 1.61) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.28% ( -0.58) | 10.72% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.35% ( -1.3) | 34.65% ( 1.3) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.48% ( -0.65) | 38.51% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.74% ( -0.63) | 75.26% ( 0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
2-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.43) 3-0 @ 7.66% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.31% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 4.28% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 4.08% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.82% ( -0.13) Other @ 4.48% Total : 66.32% | 1-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.29) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 18.88% | 1-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 14.79% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 30 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 68 | 44 | 24 | 64 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 58 | 31 | 27 | 56 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 30 | 17 | 5 | 8 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 56 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 44 |
5 | Orlando City | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 50 | 45 | 5 | 43 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 41 |
7 | New York City FCNY City | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 43 | 0 | 41 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 57 | 47 | 10 | 36 |
9 | Toronto | 31 | 11 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 36 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 30 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 61 | -20 | 34 |
11 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 40 | 44 | -4 | 33 |
12 | Nashville SCNashville | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 33 |
13 | DC United | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 61 | -17 | 33 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 31 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 54 | -18 | 29 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 28 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 63 | 46 | 17 | 58 |
2 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 60 | 45 | 15 | 51 |
3 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 30 | 15 | 5 | 10 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 50 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 48 |
6 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 45 | 34 | 11 | 47 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 49 | 40 | 9 | 46 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 63 | 53 | 10 | 44 |
9 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 50 | 48 | 2 | 42 |
10 | Dallas | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 49 | 0 | 37 |
11 | Austin FCAustin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 35 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 31 |
13 | St Louis City | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | 43 | 57 | -14 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 30 | 5 | 3 | 22 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 18 |