Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.