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San Jose Earthquakes
Major League Soccer
Mar 30, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Seattle Sounders

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Seattle

Leroux (32')
Espinoza (35'), Bouda (59')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rusnak (80')
Ragen (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 4-1 Earthquakes
Saturday, March 22 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 0-0 Houston
Sunday, March 23 at 2.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-1 Seattle Sounders

San Jose Earthquakes and Seattle Sounders have struggled to get going this season and will be looking to secure a morale-boosting result this weekend. However, we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils at PayPal Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (7.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
40.75% (-0.07 -0.07) 24.8% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 34.46% (0.057000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 58.14% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.98% (-0.064 -0.06)45.03% (0.07 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.63% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)67.38% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.93% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)22.07% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.59% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)55.42% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Seattle Sounders Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)25.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.8% (0.0020000000000024 0)60.21% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 40.75%
    Seattle Sounders 34.46%
    Draw 24.79%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawSeattle Sounders
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.42% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.22% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 40.75%
1-1 @ 11.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.61% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.79%
1-2 @ 7.95% (0.008 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.68% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.63% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 0.94% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 34.46%

How you voted: Earthquakes vs Seattle

San Jose Earthquakes
50.0%
Draw
16.7%
Seattle Sounders
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Sep 19, 2024 3.30am
Seattle
2-2
Earthquakes
Morris (21', 39')
Pellegrino (16'), Marie (89')
Lopez (20'), Espinoza (38'), Gruezo (51')
Mar 24, 2024 2.30am
Earthquakes
3-2
Seattle
Costa (42'), Espinoza (43'), Ebobisse (82')
Kikanovic (70'), Skahan (90+3')
Ruidiaz (72' pen.), Musovski (81')
Teves (52'), Ragen (64')
Jul 13, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
2-0
Seattle
Espinoza (19' pen.), Trauco (64')

Tolo (41'), Chu (45+4')
Jun 1, 2023 3.30am
Seattle
0-1
Earthquakes

Roldan (19'), Ragen (43'), Atencio (87')
Ebobisse (48')
Marie (66'), Yueill (77')
Oct 9, 2022 10pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami5410115613
2Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia6402138512
3Columbus Crew633084412
4Chicago Fire63211310311
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC6312106410
6Nashville SCNashville631295410
7Orlando City63121512310
8FC CincinnatiCincinnati631289-110
9New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls62227618
10New York City FCNY City62229908
11Atlanta UnitedAtlanta62221011-18
12DC United6132811-36
13New England RevolutionNew England511336-34
14Toronto6024612-62
15CF MontrealMontreal6024310-72

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver6411105513
2Austin FCAustin640253212
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd632196311
4Colorado RapidsColorado632187111
5Portland TimbersPortland631298110
6Dallas631299010
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles630389-19
8St Louis City62224228
9San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes62139907
10Seattle SoundersSeattle61328806
11Real Salt LakeSalt Lake6204511-66
12Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy6024512-72
13Houston DynamoHouston6024411-72
14Sporting Kansas CityKansas6015612-61
15San Diego FC00000000


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