Ebbsfleet

3 - 2

Hungerford

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 31.37% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.