MX23RW : Saturday, October 5 10:20:55| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Rushmoor Stadium

Farnborough Town
3 - 0
Weston

Pavey (19'), Cullen (59'), Morton (63' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)

Mannings (68')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Weston-super-Mare.

Form, Standings, Stats

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Weston-super-Mare

All competitions
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Slough
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
46.18% (-0.124 -0.12) 24.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03) 28.88% (0.161 0.16)
Both teams to score 55.19% (0.227 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.21% (0.247 0.25)47.79% (-0.245 -0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.02% (0.229 0.23)69.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.26% (0.048000000000002 0.05)20.74% (-0.044 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.63% (0.073 0.07)53.37% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.63% (0.247 0.25)30.37% (-0.243 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.43% (0.291 0.29)66.57% (-0.28700000000001 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 46.18%
    Weston-super-Mare 28.88%
    Draw 24.93%
Farnborough TownDrawWeston-super-Mare
1-0 @ 9.91% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.79% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.9% (0.022 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.92% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 46.18%
1-1 @ 11.8% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.93%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.026000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.04% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.47% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.8% (0.032 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.2% (0.028 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.78% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 28.88%

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