MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:23:59| >> :600:491081:491081:
Belarus national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 5, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
ZTE-Arena
Bulgaria national football team

Belarus
0 - 0
Bulgaria


Yablonski (72'), Martynovich (89')
FT

Krastev (29'), Petkov (56'), Minchev (89'), Dimov Iliev (90+1')
Krastev (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Belarus and Bulgaria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Belarus 0-4 Israel
Tuesday, June 11 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172
All competitions
Last Game: Slovenia 1-1 Bulgaria
Saturday, June 8 at 2pm in International Friendlies

We said: Belarus 1-2 Bulgaria

Belarus have got the better of Luxembourg in their previous two meetings, but Bulgaria have been hard to beat under the tutelage of Iliev and they may just do enough to edge themselves to a narrow victory on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 68.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.84%) and 0-3 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Belarus win it was 1-0 (4.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
BelarusDrawBulgaria
10.85% (0.779 0.78) 20.57% (0.373 0.37) 68.58% (-1.155 -1.16)
Both teams to score 38.3% (1.454 1.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.61% (0.463 0.46)54.39% (-0.466 -0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.24% (0.385 0.38)75.76% (-0.38799999999999 -0.39)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
45.02% (1.818 1.82)54.98% (-1.82 -1.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
12.13% (1.057 1.06)87.87% (-1.059 -1.06)
Bulgaria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.06% (-0.217 -0.22)14.93% (0.215 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.67% (-0.411 -0.41)43.33% (0.407 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Belarus 10.85%
    Bulgaria 68.58%
    Draw 20.57%
BelarusDrawBulgaria
1-0 @ 4.91% (0.182 0.18)
2-1 @ 2.79% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 1.47% (0.131 0.13)
Other @ 1.67%
Total : 10.85%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.278 0.28)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 2.66% (0.201 0.2)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 20.57%
0-1 @ 15.61% (-0.4 -0.4)
0-2 @ 14.84% (-0.5 -0.5)
0-3 @ 9.41% (-0.392 -0.39)
1-2 @ 8.88% (0.199 0.2)
1-3 @ 5.63% (0.085 0.09)
0-4 @ 4.47% (-0.222 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.68% (0.02 0.02)
0-5 @ 1.7% (-0.098 -0.1)
2-3 @ 1.68% (0.116 0.12)
1-5 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 68.58%

How you voted: Belarus vs Bulgaria

Belarus
20.5%
Draw
18.8%
Bulgaria
60.7%
112
Head to Head
Feb 26, 2020 3pm
International Friendlies
Bulgaria
0-1
Belarus
Podstrelov (15')
Jun 9, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belarus
2-1
Bulgaria
Sivakov (33' pen.), Savitskiy (80')
Nov 13, 2016 5pm
Group Stage
Bulgaria
1-0
Belarus
Delev (10')
rhs 2.0
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