We said: Bulgaria 1-0 Luxembourg
Bulgaria could keep their positive run going this weekend, as Luxembourg tend to boss possession without fully punishing their opponents.
Furthermore, the visitors have not only kept just one clean sheet in 12 matches, but they have also lost all four away games this year.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 58.47%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Luxembourg had a probability of 17.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.26%) and 2-1 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Luxembourg win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.