Nations League | League C
Sep 8, 2024 at 5pm UK
Stadion Hristo Botev
Bulgaria1 - 0N. Ireland
Form, Standings, Stats
Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Bulgaria
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group G Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Hungary | 8 | 9 | 18 |
| 2 | Serbia | 8 | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | Montenegro | 8 | -2 | 11 |
| 4 | Lithuania | 8 | -6 | 6 |
| 5 | Bulgaria | 8 | -7 | 4 |
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 10 | 11 | 22 |
| 2 | Denmark | 10 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Finland | 10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 10 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 10 | -4 | 9 |
| 6 | San Marino | 10 | -28 | 0 |
We said: Bulgaria 1-1 Northern Ireland
On the back of defeating Luxembourg, Northern Ireland will consider themselves to be favourites to edge through this fixture. However, Bulgaria have made a habit of posting draws under this manager, leading us to predict another low-scoring stalemate. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bulgaria win with a probability of 46.51%. A win for Northern Ireland had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bulgaria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest Northern Ireland win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bulgaria in this match.
| Result | ||
| Bulgaria | Draw | Northern Ireland |
46.51% ( -0.39) | 26.55% ( 0.02) | 26.94% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 48.88% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
