We said: Luxembourg 1-0 Belarus
Given Belarus's poor form and the fact they have failed to score in the last five matches, it is difficult to see how they win on Sunday.
Although Luxembourg struggled to produce much in way of attacking threat against Northern Ireland, it would not be surprising if they continued their strong home form and collected all three points.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 19.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.