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UEFA Nations League header

UEFA Nations League
Luxembourg national football team
Nations League | League C
Sep 8, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
Belarus national football team

Luxembourg
0 - 1
Belarus


Bohnert (45'), Chanot (86'), Martins Pereira (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gromyko (76')
Ebong (53'), Martynovich (71'), Kavalyow (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Nations League clash between Luxembourg and Belarus, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luxembourg

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Belarus

All competitions
Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 Bulgaria
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Current Group I Standings P GD PTS
1Romania101122
2Switzerland101117
3Israel10015
4Belarus10-512
5Kosovo10011
6Andorra10-172

We said: Luxembourg 1-0 Belarus

 Given Belarus's poor form and the fact they have failed to score in the last five matches, it is difficult to see how they win on Sunday. Although Luxembourg struggled to produce much in way of attacking threat against Northern Ireland, it would not be surprising if they continued their strong home form and collected all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luxembourg win with a probability of 54.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 19.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luxembourg win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.

Result
LuxembourgDrawBelarus
54.57% (0.139 0.14) 26.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01) 19.28% (-0.132 -0.13)
Both teams to score 41.9% (-0.172 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.78% (-0.121 -0.12)60.22% (0.121 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.6% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)80.4% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.75% (0.007000000000005 0.01)22.25% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.31% (0.010000000000005 0.01)55.69% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Belarus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.89% (-0.226 -0.23)46.11% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.2% (-0.174 -0.17)81.81% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 54.56%
    Belarus 19.28%
    Draw 26.15%
LuxembourgDrawBelarus
1-0 @ 15.42% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 11.58% (0.06 0.06)
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.8% (0.03 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 2.18% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.69% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 54.56%
1-1 @ 11.93% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.26% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 3.47% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 26.15%
0-1 @ 7.94% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-2 @ 4.62% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.19% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 19.28%

How you voted: Luxembourg vs Belarus

Luxembourg
76.6%
Draw
15.0%
Belarus
8.4%
107
Head to Head
Nov 15, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Luxembourg
0-2
Belarus

Thill (49'), Janisch (53'), Martins (81'), Philipps (82')
Dragun (37', 54')
Saroka (71'), Dragun (83')
Oct 12, 2018 7.45pm
League Phase
Belarus
1-0
Luxembourg
Saroka (43')
Volodko (66'), Maevski (72')

Turpel (68'), Jans (72'), Sinani (81')
Aug 31, 2017 7.45pm
Group Stage
Luxembourg
1-0
Belarus
Da Mota (60')
Oct 10, 2016 7.45pm
Group Stage
Belarus
1-1
Luxembourg
Savitskiy (80')
Joachim (85')
Sep 8, 2015 7.45pm
Qualifiers
Belarus
2-0
Luxembourg
Gordeichuk (34', 62')

Philipps (77')
> Match Report
rhs 2.0
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