Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City Under-23s win with a probability of 53.04%. A win for Sunderland Under-23s had a probability of 25.41% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City Under-23s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.06%) and 1-0 (7%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-23s win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Birmingham City Under-23s would win this match.
