Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 28

Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
1 - 3
Brentford

Pukki (90+2')
Gibson (51'), Hanley (79')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Toney (32', 52' pen., 58' pen.)
Ajer (24'), Eriksen (40'), Jansson (79'), Roerslev (89'), Mbeumo (90+1')

Dean Smith believes Norwich City were "VARed" against Brentford

Norwich City manager Dean Smith has complained about the officiating that took place during their recent defeat against Brentford.

Mar 5, 22:38

Brentford's Ivan Toney celebrates after the match on March 5, 2022

Thomas Frank hails Ivan Toney as the best penalty taker in the world

Brentford manager Thomas Frank has praised the penalty-taking ability of Ivan Toney after he scored two against Norwich City.

Mar 5, 22:15

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Norwich City and Brentford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

Last Six:

Last Game: Wolves 1-1 Norwich
Sunday, May 15 at 2pm in Premier League

Next Game: Norwich vs. Spurs
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
18	Leeds United	37	-38	35
19	Watford	37	-42	23
20	Norwich City	37	-56	22

Brentford

Last Six:

Last Game: Everton 2-3 Brentford
Sunday, May 15 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Next Game: Brentford vs. Leeds
Sunday, May 22 at 4pm in Premier League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
10	Brighton & Hove Albion	37	-4	48
11	Brentford	37	-7	46
12	Newcastle United	37	-19	46

We said: Norwich City 1-2 Brentford

Brentford's inability to keep the back door shut away from home is well-documented, but Norwich boast the worst home attacking record in the division ahead of this relegation six-pointer. Both sides will view this encounter as a priceless opportunity to end their winless runs, but with the Bees enjoying a longer period of rest and boosted by having Toney and Eriksen raring to go, we are tipping the visitors to finally post another victory as Norwich remain rooted to the bottom. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.24%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 34.65% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.87%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (11.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Brentford
37.24%	28.11%	34.65%

Both teams to score 47.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.29%

58.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.75%

79.25%

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.67%

30.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.49%

66.51%

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.03%

31.97%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.57%

68.43%

Score Analysis

Norwich City 37.23%

Brentford 34.64%

Draw 28.11%

Norwich City	Draw	Brentford
1-0 @ 11.56% 2-1 @ 7.87% 2-0 @ 6.9% 3-1 @ 3.13% 3-0 @ 2.75% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.23%	1-1 @ 13.19% 0-0 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.11%	0-1 @ 11.05% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.86% 0-3 @ 2.4% 2-3 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.8% Total : 34.64%