MX23RW : Wednesday, January 29 14:39:24| >> :600:414074:414074:
Sporting Lisbon
Taca de Portugal | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Feb 29, 2024 at 8.45pm UK
Estadio Jose Alvalade
Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 1
Benfica

Goncalves (9'), Gyokeres (54')
Hjulmand (33'), Paulinho (41')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Aursnes (68')
Schmidt (0'), Otamendi (31'), di Maria (74'), Kokcu (75'), Silva (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Taca de Portugal clash between Sporting Lisbon and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Rio Ave 3-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sunday, February 25 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Benfica

All competitions
Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 4-0 Portimonense
Sunday, February 25 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Benfica

 The spoils could be shared in this latest instalment of the Lisbon derby, leaving it all to play for when the reverse fixture comes around in April. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Benfica win was 1-2 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.

Result
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
50.46% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09) 23.51% (0.029 0.03) 26.03% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 57.66% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.52% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)43.48% (0.077999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.12% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)65.88% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)17.32% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.31% (-0.108 -0.11)47.69% (0.111 0.11)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.74% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)30.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.56% (0.009999999999998 0.01)66.44% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Sporting Lisbon 50.46%
    Benfica 26.03%
    Draw 23.51%
Sporting LisbonDrawBenfica
2-1 @ 9.63% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 10.98% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.51%
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.011 0.01)
0-1 @ 6.27% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.74% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 26.03%

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Benfica

Sporting Lisbon
49.7%
Draw
27.6%
Benfica
22.8%
145
Head to Head
Nov 12, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 11
Benfica
2-1
Sporting Lisbon
Neves (90+4'), Tengstedt (90+7')
Mario (66'), Neves (75')
Gyokeres (45')
Coates (15'), Inacio (22'), Edwards (57'), Hjulmand (69'), Neto (90+11')
Inacio (51')
> Preview
May 21, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 33
Sporting Lisbon
2-2
Benfica
Trincao (39'), Diomande (44')
Diomande (48'), Coates (88')
Aursnes (71'), Neves (90+4')
Silva (40'), Chiquinho (80')
> Preview
Jan 15, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 16
Benfica
2-2
Sporting Lisbon
Ramos (37', 64')
Bah (27'), Goncalves (53' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 17, 2022 8.30pm
Gameweek 30
Sporting Lisbon
0-2
Benfica

Sarabia (13'), Paulinho (51')
Nunez (14'), Dias (90+2')
Everton (41'), Vertonghen (51'), Taarabt (75')
> Preview
Jan 29, 2022 7.45pm
Final
Benfica
1-2
Sporting Lisbon
Everton (23')
Vertonghen (53'), Everton (58'), Mario (90+2')
Inacio (49'), Sarabia (78')
Neto (31'), Paulinho (53'), Nunes (59'), Esgaio (77')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool22165154213353
2Arsenal23138244212347
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest2313553327644
4Manchester CityMan City23125647301741
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle23125641271441
6Chelsea23117545301540
7Bournemouth23117541261540
8Aston Villa2310763435-137
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton2381053531434
10Fulham238963431333
11Brentford2394104240231
12Manchester UnitedMan Utd2385102832-429
13Crystal Palace236982630-427
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham2376102844-1627
15Tottenham HotspurSpurs2373134637924
16Everton225891928-923
17Leicester CityLeicester2345142549-2417
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves2344153252-2016
19Ipswich TownIpswich2337132147-2616
20Southampton2313191653-376
> Premier League Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!