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Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8
Oct 3, 2021 at 6pm UK
Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota, Estoril
Gil Vicente logo

Estoril
2 - 2
Gil Vicente

Fonte (11'), Franco (45+2' pen.)
Rosier (29'), Chiquinho (38')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Lino (42'), Navarro (50')
Carlos (44'), Costa (65'), Leautey (75'), Pedrinho (86')

Preview: Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Looking to end their run of five games without a win, Gil Vicente travel to the Estadio Antonio Coimbra da Mota to square off against Estoril Praia on Sunday.

The hosts, who have settled in nicely in the big leagues, will be keen to immediately return to winning ways after dropping points in each of their most two recent outings.


Match preview

Gil Vicente's Samuel Lino in action in December 2020© Reuters

Estoril Praia were denied a fourth away victory on the bounce last Monday when they played out a 1-1 draw against Boavista at the Estadio do Bessa.

After falling behind to Gustavo Sauer's spot kick midway through the first half, Andre Franco scored his third goal of the season to draw the Canarinhos level in the 71st minute.

This followed a narrow 1-0 defeat at the hands of defending champions Sporting Lisbon, where Pedro Porro grabbed the breakthrough strike from the spot in the 67th minute to end their run of three straight wins.

Estoril Praia are unbeaten in all but one of their seven games to date, picking up four wins and two draws and this fine start to the season has been owing to their solid performance at the defensive end of the pitch, where they boast the fifth-best record in the division with five goals conceded.

The newly-promoted side, who were crowned Segunda Liga champions last term, are currently in fourth place in the Primeira Liga standings and could move level on 17 points with Porto and Sporting Lisbon with a win this weekend.

Estoril Praia's Rosier Loreintz in action on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Meanwhile, Gil Vicente were left empty handed last time out when they were condemned to a 2-1 defeat by high-flying Porto on home turf.

In an end-to-end affair between the sides at the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, Mehdi Taremi's ninth-minute opener was cancelled out by Samuel Lino 15 minutes later, but Sergio Oliveira restored Porto's lead with one minute remaining in the game.

The Gilistas have now failed to taste victory since opening the season with successive wins over Boavista and Portimonense, picking up two draws and losing three.

This slump in form has seen Ricardo Soares's men drop to 10th place in the table, and the 46-year-old will feel the need to push his side for maximum points in this contest as they risk falling into the bottom half of the table with more dropped points.

However, they face the uphill task of going up against an opposing side, whom they have failed to defeat in each of their last six attempts, picking up three draws and losing three since their last win back in 2013.

Estoril Praia Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L


Team News

Gil Vicente players Rodrigao and Denis challenge for the ball in July 2020© Reuters

Estoril Praia have no concerns on the injury front and on the back of his side's impressive performance against Boavista last time out, head coach Bruno Pinheiro could name a similar starting XI this weekend.

However, Bruno Lourenco, who has a four-goal contribution in seven appearances, was dropped to the bench in the aforementioned game, but we expect the 23-year-old forward to return to the mix and provide more firepower in attack for the Canarinhos.

The duo of forward Chiquinho and goalkeeper Daniel Figueira face the risk of a one-game suspension after picking up their fourth booking of the season.

Meanwhile, Gil Vicente will be unable to call upon the services of Brazilian midfielder Joao Afonso, who continues his spell on the sidelines after picking up an injury back in April's game against Moreirense.

The Gilistas will be boosted by the return of Antoine Leautey, who was handed a 27-minute cameo against Porto last time out, having recovered from a knee problem.

However, Portuguese manager Ricardo Soares will only be allowed to watch from the stands after receiving a red card in the aforementioned game and in his absence assistant coach Bruno Macedo will take over the reins on Sunday.

Estoril Praia possible starting lineup:
Figueira; Soria, Patrick, Africo, Joaozinho; Geraldes, Gamboa; Gomes, Chiquinho, Geraldes; Lourenco

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Frelih; Talocha, Fernandes, Cunha, Carlos; Pedrinho, Carvalho; Fujimoto; Lino, Murillo, Navarro


SM words green background

We say: Estoril Praia 1-0 Gil Vicente

Estoril Praia have enjoyed a dream start to their top-flight campaign and currently find themselves in fourth place with four wins from their opening seven games. We predict they will take the positives from their draw against Boavista and return to winning ways as they take on an out-of-sorts Gil Vicente side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Draw:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 44.08%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 27.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.06%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Estoril vs Gil Vicente

Estoril Praia
62.5%
Draw
37.5%
Gil Vicente
0.0%
8
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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