Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 29, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Do Vizela

Vizela
0 - 2
Porto

Ortiz (64'), Pereira (66'), Soro (82')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Taremi (22' pen.), Eustaquio (44')
Carmo (57'), Conceicao (72'), Taremi (81'), Borges (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vizela and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vizela

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Atletico CP 0-1 Vizela
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in Taca de Portugal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Antwerp 1-4 Porto
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto have looked very good since returning from the international break, and they will know that they cannot afford to drop any more points while it is still early in the season. The Dragons will head into this match as strong favourites, and we feel they will live up to that tag with a fifth consecutive victory over this opponent. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 57.21%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 19.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (6.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Vizela	Draw	Porto
19.48% ( 0.07)	23.31% ( 0.22)	57.21% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 49.93% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.31% (

-0.82)

49.69% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.3% (

-0.74)

71.7% (

0.75)

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.25% (

-0.4)

39.75% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.58% (

-0.38)

76.42% (

0.38)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.86% (

-0.39)

17.14% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.64% (

-0.7)

47.36% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Vizela 19.48%

Porto 57.2%

Draw 23.31%

Vizela	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.22% Total : 19.48%	1-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 12.01% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 10.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.1) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.77% Total : 57.2%