Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Khimki win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
