Sochi

2 - 1

Nizhny Novgorod

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 63.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Nizhny Novgorod had a probability of 14.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.53%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Nizhny Novgorod win it was 0-1 (5.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sochi would win this match.