Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.
Result | ||
Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
27.62% ( 0.34) | 23.69% ( 0.05) | 48.7% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 58.49% ( 0.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.97% ( 0.04) | 43.03% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.57% ( 0.04) | 65.43% ( -0.04) |
Arbroath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% ( 0.27) | 28.83% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% ( 0.34) | 64.69% ( -0.33) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.18% ( -0.13) | 17.82% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.45% ( -0.23) | 48.55% ( 0.23) |
Score Analysis |
Arbroath | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.47% Total : 27.62% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 5.47% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.71% Total : 48.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
> Scottish Championship Full Table |