Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen's Park win with a probability of 48.7%. A win for Arbroath had a probability of 27.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen's Park win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Arbroath win was 2-1 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Queen's Park would win this match.