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Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
St Mirren Park
Motherwell logo

St Mirren
1 - 0
Motherwell

Main (16')
Greive (37'), Offord (81'), Fraser (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Goss (61'), Lamie (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Mirren and Motherwell, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: St Mirren 1-0 Motherwell

Although St Mirren and Motherwell have struggled in the league of late, the Buddies have continued to enjoy success on home soil and should edge out the visitors on Saturday, enhancing their outstanding defensive record at the SMISA Stadium in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Motherwell had a probability of 29.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Motherwell win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for St Mirren in this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
42.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 27.82%29.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 46.92% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.31%58.69% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.77%79.23% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.67% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)27.32%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)62.77% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Motherwell Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (0.0019999999999953 0)35.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)72.21% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.45%
    Motherwell 29.72%
    Draw 27.81%
St MirrenDrawMotherwell
1-0 @ 12.56%
2-1 @ 8.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.9%
4-1 @ 1.19%
4-0 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 42.45%
1-1 @ 13.03%
0-0 @ 9.69% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.81%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.21%
1-3 @ 2.34% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 1.8%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 29.72%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Motherwell

St Mirren
88.9%
Draw
0.0%
Motherwell
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3pm
St Mirren
0-1
Motherwell

Strain (6'), Tanser (42'), Baccus (48'), Ayunga (84')
Van Veen (42' pen.)
O'Donnell (45+1'), Goss (64'), Speirs (73'), Maguire (84')
Lamie (82')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Motherwell
4-2
St Mirren
Goss (20'), Shields (21'), Cornelius (45'), Tait (76' og.)
Brophy (14'), McCarthy (38')
Power (80')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 27, 2021 7.45pm
Motherwell
2-2
St Mirren
Watt (48', 51' pen.)
Goss (90+2')
Brophy (74', 79')
McAllister (71'), Brophy (79')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Celtic1614204444044
2RangersRangers1611232891935
3Aberdeen17104331211034
4Motherwell178272327-426
5Dundee UnitedDundee Utd176742519625
6St Mirren187382429-524
7Dundee175482730-319
8Hibernian184682430-618
9Kilmarnock184681935-1618
10Hearts1844102027-716
11Ross County183691435-2115
12St Johnstone1842122134-1314


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