MX23RW : Monday, November 25 21:31:02| >> :600:16797242:16797242:
[monks data]
Scunthorpe United
League Two | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2022 at 3pm UK
Glanford Park
Carlisle United

Scunthorpe
0 - 1
Carlisle


Rowe (35'), Hackney (52')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McDonald (40')
Dickenson (59')

Preview: Scunthorpe United vs. Carlisle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Scunthorpe United and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Scunthorpe United will compete in a true six-pointer on Saturday when they host Carlisle United, who are also fighting to survive against relegation this season.

The Iron are currently sitting 23rd in the league, but there is only goal difference separating these two teams right now, placing huge pressure onto this fixture for both of them.


Match preview

Tranmere Rovers manager Keith Hill pictured on January 10, 2021© Reuters

It has been a tough season for Scunthorpe United so far, having only won three of their 22 games so far in League Two, which is why they find themselves 23rd in the table.

Despite that, the Iron are level on points with their opponents at the weekend, with a win being enough to take them out of the bottom two, which would be an ideal way to start 2022.

Even though the team have struggled so far, they actually head into this game in good form as they have not lost in their previous five outings.

Scunthorpe drew four matches in a row before picking up three points on Boxing Day, with Keith Hill having made an impact since taking charge of the club in November.

Ryan Loft was able to score a brace in that match, while Myles Hippolyte also found the back of the net as the Iron won 3-1, which is a run they shall be hoping to extend at the weekend.

Much like their opponents on Saturday, Carlisle United also won their last outing; however, that match took place on December 11, with COVID-19 having led to postponements since then.

This will bring positives and negatives for the team, who should certainly be fit, but could be lacking match sharpness after such a long break.

However, they were able to defeat Stevenage in their most recent game, keeping a clean sheet in the process as goals from Jon Mellish and Jordan Gibson secured the 2-0 result.

It marked only their fourth win of the season, but it has been enough to keep them above the relegation zone since that point, and they will now be hoping to climb further up the table at the weekend.

Another win could take Carlisle as high as 19th, depending on other results, and considering they have at least a game in hand on the teams below them, this would be a huge advantage in their fight for survival.

Scunthorpe United League Two form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Scunthorpe United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W

Carlisle United League Two form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Carlisle United form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Keith Hill in charge of Rochdale in December 2018© Reuters

After scoring a brace from the bench on Boxing Day, Loft will be hoping he has done enough to earn a place in the starting lineup this time out, with the forward hoping to add to his goals.

However, one player they will be without is Harry Baker as the youngster recently joined Pickering Town on a month-long loan deal in order to gain game time.

Devarn Green, Harry Bunn and Hayden Hackney were all brought into the Iron team for their recent victory, and considering the positive performance, they will all be in contention to start once more.

Having not played since December 11, Carlisle United will be the fresher of the two teams, and that could play as an advantage for them on the day.

Zach Clough has been a long-term injury problem for Keith Millen as of late, but it is unknown if the break will have provided enough time for him to get back.

Callum Guy was a boost for the team during their recent victory against Stevenage though, as he was able to compete despite a knock in the previous match.

Scunthorpe United possible starting lineup:
Watson; O'Malley, Taft, Onariase, Green; Rowe, Pugh, Hackney, Hippoplyte; Loft, Bunn

Carlisle United possible starting lineup:
Howard; Armer, McDonald, Feeney, Mellor; Devine, Guy; Gibson, Mellish, Dickenson; Fishburn


SM words green background

We say: Scunthorpe United 2-1 Carlisle United

Both teams have struggled so far this season and they are each in a real need to add some points if they are wanting to survive relegation.

There is no doubt that each squad will view this as a must win game, but considering the recent form Scunthorpe have displayed, they should have enough to edge things.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:474011:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8951:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.01%) and 1-2 (9.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 1-0 (8.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Carlisle United in this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Scunthorpe vs Carlisle

Scunthorpe United
80.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
0.0%
10
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
The mighty Nuno Espirito Santo watches on during the EFL Cup game between Southampton and Wolverhampton Wanderers on August 23, 2017
Read Next:
Championship: Transfer ins and outs - January 2018
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1895433141932
2Chorley189542921832
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
4Buxton1910183122931
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn189362119230
7Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
8Chester FCChester178452017328
9Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
10Brackley Town168351913627
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor186752620625
12South Shields188192428-425
13SouthportSouthport187472530-525
14Leamington FCLeamington176562218423
15Darlington175751818022
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports186481924-522
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic1862101931-1220
19Warrington Town184771824-619
20Oxford CityOxford City184682533-818
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC17449921-1216
23Rushall Olympic1733111731-1412
24Needham Market1833121233-2112


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!