Serie A | Gameweek 31
Apr 18, 2021 at 2pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna4 - 1Spezia
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 26.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Spezia win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Spezia |
| 49.85% | 23.46% | 26.69% |
| Both teams to score 58.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
