Lecce0 - 1Napoli
Form, Standings, Stats
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
for
Sunday, April 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Lecce 0-2 Napoli
Having rediscovered their ruthless efficiency, Napoli will not let Lecce stop them taking one step closer to the title. Even if they are not firing on all cylinders up front, the Partenopei should blunt their hosts' tepid attack and score at least once themselves. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 65.95%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.44%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.68%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.
| Result | ||
| Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
13.65% ( -0.24) | 20.4% ( -0.44) | 65.95% ( 0.69) |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( 0.73) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.44% ( 1.33) | 47.56% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.24% ( 1.22) | 69.76% ( -1.22) |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.03% ( 0.45) | 45.97% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 18.3% ( 0.35) | 81.7% ( -0.35) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( 0.63) | 13.57% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.32% ( 1.24) | 40.68% ( -1.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lecce | Draw | Napoli |
| 1-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.21% Total : 13.65% | 1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 6.24% ( -0.35)2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.72% Total : 20.4% | 0-1 @ 12.46% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 12.44% ( -0.11)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 8.28% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 6.44% ( 0.17)0-4 @ 4.14% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 3.21% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.1)0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.1)1-5 @ 1.28% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.62% Total : 65.95% |
How you voted: Lecce vs Napoli
Simeone (17'), Kvaratskhelia (33')
