Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hellas Verona win with a probability of 66.63%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Venezia had a probability of 14.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hellas Verona win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Venezia win it was 0-1 (4.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hellas Verona would win this match.
Result | ||
Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
66.63% | 19.33% | 14.03% |
Both teams to score 51.19% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.91% | 42.09% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.5% | 64.49% |
Hellas Verona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.27% | 11.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.13% | 36.87% |
Venezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58% | 42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.56% | 78.43% |
Score Analysis |
Hellas Verona | Draw | Venezia |
2-0 @ 11.31% 1-0 @ 10.55% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 7.01% 4-0 @ 4.33% 4-1 @ 3.76% 3-2 @ 3.04% 5-0 @ 1.86% 4-2 @ 1.63% 5-1 @ 1.61% Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.62% | 1-1 @ 9.16% 0-0 @ 4.93% 2-2 @ 4.26% Other @ 0.99% Total : 19.33% | 0-1 @ 4.27% 1-2 @ 3.97% 0-2 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.23% 1-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.55% Total : 14.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Napoli | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 25 |
2 | Inter Milan | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 25 | 13 | 12 | 24 |
3 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 29 | 14 | 15 | 22 |
4 | Fiorentina | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 22 | 9 | 13 | 22 |
5 | Juventus | 11 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 21 |
6 | Lazio | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 13 | 9 | 19 |
7 | AC Milan | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 17 |
8 | Udinese | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 16 |
9 | Bologna | 10 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Torino | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 14 |
11 | Empoli | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 14 |
12 | Roma | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 13 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 11 | 4 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 12 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 9 |
15 | Genoa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 9 |
16 | Como | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
17 | Parma | 11 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 9 |
18 | Monza | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 8 |
19 | VeneziaVenezia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 8 |
20 | Lecce | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 20 | -16 | 8 |
> Serie A Full Table |