Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Nafta had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Nafta win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.