We said: Kayserispor 1-1 Caykur Rizespor
Kayserispor's recent poor form is a major concern for head coach Ucar, but the fact that his team are still unbeaten at home this season gives him confidence for this match.
The two teams are not far apart in terms of quality, so the game can go either way given their current form.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kayserispor win with a probability of 45.7%. A win for Caykur Rizespor had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kayserispor win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Caykur Rizespor win was 0-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kayserispor would win this match.