Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes1 - 2Portimonense
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-1 Tondela
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Saturday, September 9 at 8.30pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estrela Amadora
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, September 2 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Portimonense
Despite the setback in being knocked out of the cup last week, Guimaraes should emphasise their superiority by returning to winning ways here. Portimonense have been one of the league's poorest sides in the opening four weeks, and two thrashing against mid-table outfits already suggests another tough day could be in store. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 54.84%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Portimonense |
54.84% ( -0.52) | 25.51% ( -0.29) | 19.65% ( 0.81) |
| Both teams to score 44.02% ( 1.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
