Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 73.72%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 9.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.46%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.8%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
73.72% ( 1.08) | 16.41% ( -0.46) | 9.86% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 47.66% ( -0.77) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.4% ( 0.27) | 39.59% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.05% ( 0.28) | 61.94% ( -0.28) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.73% ( 0.33) | 9.26% ( -0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.69% ( 0.77) | 31.3% ( -0.77) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.53% ( -1.04) | 47.46% ( 1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.16% ( -0.79) | 82.83% ( 0.79) |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Portimonense |
2-0 @ 12.44% ( 0.21) 1-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.87% ( 0.27) 4-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.07) 5-0 @ 2.79% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.08% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.74% Total : 73.72% | 1-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.76% Total : 16.41% | 0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.45% Total : 9.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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