Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Aug 22, 2021 at 9.30pm UK
Estadio Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Cerro Largo3 - 1Villa Espanola
Paiva (42'), Estol (50'), Otormin (90')
Cayetano (36'), Brasil (59'), Montero (90+3')
Cayetano (36'), Brasil (59'), Montero (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Albin (60')
D. Rio N. (89'), Aprile (90+4')
D. Rio N. (89'), Aprile (90+4')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Villa Espanola.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Villa Espanola had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest Villa Espanola win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | Villa Espanola |
| 47.8% | 25.38% | 26.82% |
| Both teams to score 52.26% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
