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Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 5
Sep 12, 2021 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio D Afonso Henriques
Belenenses

Guimaraes
0 - 0
Belenenses


Estupinan (36'), Borevkovic (51'), Andre (90+5'), Janvier (90+9')
Semedo (11'), Borevkovic (60')
FT

Sousa (72'), Safira (90+2'), Nuno (90+13'), Camara (90+15')

Preview: Vitoria de Guimaraes vs. Belenenses - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Belenenses go in search of their first win of the season when they visit the Estadio Dom Afonso Henriques to take on Vitoria de Guimaraes on Sunday.

The hosts, on the other hand, are 10th in the Primeira Liga table with five points from four games, and could move into the top half with a win.


Match preview

A general shot of Marcus Edwards celebrating with teammates for Vitoria de Guimaraes in June 2020© Reuters

Vitoria de Guimaraes made it three games without defeat when they held a rampant Braga side to a goalless draw at the Estadio Municipal de Braga last time out.

Czech Republic goalkeeper Matous Trmal put on a clinic between the sticks for Os Vimaranenses, as he made a plethora of saves to deny the hosts their second win on the trot.

That followed an emphatic 4-0 win over Vizela three weeks ago, when Andre Andre, Oscar Estupinan, Marcus Edwards and Falaye Sacko all scored in the second half to cap off a superb team performance.

Sunday's hosts are now unbeaten in seven of their last eight games in all competitions, picking up six wins and one draw while scoring 13 goals and conceding four.

Pepa will fancy his side's chances of keeping up their solid form as they welcome an opposing side who they are unbeaten against in six of the last seven meetings between the sides on home turf.

Belenenses' Miguel Cardoso celebrates scoring their first goal with Afonso Gamelas in December 2020© Reuters

Belenenses, meanwhile, picked up their first point of the new season courtesy of a 1-1 home draw against fellow strugglers Moreirense last time out.

In a game where Trova Boni received his marching orders, O Belem looked set for all three points after Nigerian defender Chima Akas put them ahead shortly before the half-hour mark, but substitute Andre Luis struck with four minutes remaining in the game to salvage a point for the visitors.

Prior to that, Belenenses suffered defeats against Porto, Maritimo and Sporting Lisbon, as they failed to pick up a point from their opening three league outings for the first time since 2013.

Petit's side have now failed to taste victory in any of their last nine games across all competitions, and this has largely been down to their underwhelming displays at the attacking end of the pitch, where they scored just four goals in that time.

Vitoria de Guimaraes Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

Vitoria de Guimaraes form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • D

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Belenenses form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D


Team News

Belenenses head coach Petit pictured in July 2020© Reuters

Vitoria remain without the services of first-choice goalkeeper Bruno Varela, who has missed the last seven games through a knee injury.

In his absence, Trmal has been in inspiring form for Os Vimaranenses, making nine saves and keeping three clean sheets from the opening four games and we expect the 22-year-old goalkeeper to stand behind an unchanged back four of Falaye Sacko, Toni Borevkovic, Abdul Mumin and Rafa Soares following their valiant display against Braga last time out.

Meanwhile, Belenenses will be unable to call upon the services of midfield duo Afonso Taira and Trova Boni, who continue to serve their suspensions after picking up straight reds against Sporting Lisbon and Moreirense respectively.

Sandro and Pedro Nuno will also sit out the tie, with the latter coming off injured just before half time last time out, while Mateo Cassierra is a major doubt after missing the last two outings.

Rafael Camacho could be handed his first starting appearance of the season after impressing off the bench for the injured Nuno against Joao Henriques's men.

Portuguese manager Petit will only be allowed to watch from the stands on Sunday after receiving a red card in the aforementioned game and in his absence, assistant coach Jose Pedro will take over the reins.

Vitoria de Guimaraes possible starting lineup:
Trmal; Sacko, Mumin, Borevkovic, Soares; Almeida, Semedo, Andre; Rochinha, Estupinan, Quaresma

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Carraca, Ribeiro, Phete, Akas, Varela; Camacho, A Sousa, Coelho, C Sousa; Ndour


SM words green background

We say: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 Belenenses

Both sides have had contrasting starts to the season, with Belenenses struggling to get going.

We anticipate Vitoria will come away with all three points, as they appear to have hit their stride this term and take on an out-of-sorts Belenenses side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 59.2%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.27%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Belenenses

Vitoria de Guimaraes
75.0%
Draw
6.3%
Belenenses
18.8%
16
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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